CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Cuba1 - 4Guadeloupe
Form, Standings, Stats
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Guatemala 1-0 Cuba
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.45am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.45am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guatemala | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Canada | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cuba | 1 | -1 | 0 |
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Canada 2-2 Guadeloupe
Wednesday, June 28 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Wednesday, June 28 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guatemala | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Canada | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cuba | 1 | -1 | 0 |
We said: Cuba 1-2 Guadeloupe
While they were struggling to keep up in the second half, Guadeloupe held a solid backline and did well to cut off the danger areas against Canada. We believe Les Gwada Boys will carry much more momentum into this match when compared to Cuba, who looked like a team that was holding on and depending a little too heavily on their goalkeeper to bail them out. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Cuba had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Cuba win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cuba | Draw | Guadeloupe |
25.86% ( -1.13) | 25.62% ( 0.12) | 48.51% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
