Cuba have come a long way over the past year but have not faced any formidable opponents or teams as experienced with the ability to score like Chile, and this could be one of those games where once the Chileans find the mark, the floodgates could open. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Chile in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chile.

Result
Chile	Draw	Cuba
47.9% ( -2.01)	26.53% ( 0.45)	25.57% ( 1.55)

Both teams to score 47.87% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.85% (

-0.52)

56.15% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.79% (

-0.42)

77.21% (

0.43)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

-1.13)

23.47% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.51% (

-1.66)

57.49% (

1.66)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.55% (

1.11)

37.45% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.77% (

1.07)

74.23% (

-1.07)

Score Analysis

Chile 47.9%

Cuba 25.57%

Draw 26.52%

Chile	Draw	Cuba
1-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.66% Total : 47.9%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.57%