Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.72%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.