MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:21:26| >> :600:1676990:1676990:
[monks data]
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Robertson Stadium
Vancouver Whitecaps

Houston
2 - 1
Vancouver

Quintero (33', 50')
Ulfarsson (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cavallini (14')
Brown (28'), Veselinovic (80')

Preview: Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two teams searching for their first win of the new Major League Soccer regular season will face each other on Saturday as the Houston Dynamo host the Vancouver Whitecaps at PNC Stadium.

Neither side have found the back of the net thus far, as Orange Crush dropped a 1-0 decision to Sporting Kansas City last week, while The Caps played to a 0-0 draw in their home opener versus New York City FC.


Match preview

Houston Dynamo head coach Paulo Nagamura speaks to Houston Dynamo defender Adam Lundqvist (3) along the sidelines during the first half against the Sporting Kansas City at Children's Mercy Park on March 5, 2022© Reuters

The Dynamo captured the MLS headlines with their major signing just over a week ago, but in the meantime, there is still plenty of work to do in terms of improving this team before the arrival of Hector Herrera in July.

That move may prove to be an inspiring one, which could re-engage the Houston faithful with their team, however based on what we have seen from them in their first two games, it will take a lot more than that to turn this program around.

El Naranja have picked up where they left off in 2021, without a goal in their opening two matches this year after failing to score in their final two regular-season affairs in the previous campaign.

Last year under Tab Ramos, the Dynamo conceded multiple goals in 18 MLS encounters, and judging from what this group have shown so far in 2022, their new boss, Paulo Nagamura appears intent on making sure that his players are not embarrassed like many of them were in several games last season.

While they have only generated five shots on target combined in their two games, this team have limited the damage in their penalty area, with some vital interceptions in the final third.

Orange Crush were the only team in the league who failed to win a road encounter last season however their form at home has not been much better, winning one of their previous five regular-season fixtures played in Southeast Texas, scoring in only one of those encounters.

Vancouver Whitecaps' Ryan Gauld dribbles the ball against Columbus Crew's Lucas Zelarrayan on February 26, 2022© Reuters

After a disastrous opening match defeat in Columbus (4-0), Vanni Sartini and the Whitecaps aimed to buckle down defensively against the reigning MLS Cup champions.

Following their draw versus New York, Sartini noted how pleased he was with the poise that his backline showed against a dangerous Pigeons side as The Caps' did a much better job at maintaining their shape, while also looking fairly compact defensively.

Losing the ball seems to be a recurring theme for Vancouver in the early stages of this campaign, as they only had 29% possession versus New York and were outshot 4-1 in terms of efforts on target, although their giveaways this past weekend were not in the same dangerous areas that we saw in their opener.

A year ago, this team struggled to maintain their composure in the late stages of matches, and so far in 2022, it has been the opposite story as they appear nervous and uneasy from the opening whistle.

Dating back to last year and including the playoffs, The Caps are winless in four successive road encounters, claiming victory in a mere two fixtures away from home in 2021.

Even though they have yet to score, Vancouver have shown to be a speedy and dangerous side on the counter, who might just be missing a little bit of quality and continuity at the moment.

Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L

Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • D



Team News

Houston Dynamo FC starting players huddle before the start of the match on June 24, 2021© Reuters

While the Dynamo patiently await the arrival of Herrera, they will have to make do with what they currently have at their disposal and last Saturday, their substitutes were perhaps their most creative players as Darwin Quintero had a great chance that just missed in the 78th minute, and Adalberto Carrasquilla made an excellent feed to Tyler Pasher four minutes later, forcing a save from Tim Melia.

Griffin Dorsey is the only injury concern for Houston as he has an issue with his left leg and was replaced on defence by Zarek Valentin last week, while Steve Clark made four saves in goal versus KC to keep that match close.

The Dynamo made a deal this week, trading Derrick Jones to Charlotte FC along with $50,000 in General Allocation Money (GAM), in exchange for $250,000 GAM, plus a 20% future transfer fee.

Zeca made his first appearance for Orange Crush last weekend, as the former Santos fullback replaced Valentin in the 86th minute, while Thorleifur Ulfarsson came on for Sebastian Ferreira to play the final 14 minutes plus stoppage time a week ago, collecting his first cap with the club.

The leading goalscorer for the Caps a season ago, Brian White, made his first appearance of the year last week, coming on as a second-half substitute versus NYCFC, replacing Deiber Caicedo, while Lucas Cavallini had a solid match in attack before being taken off in favour of Javain Brown with less than 20 minutes to play.

Last week, the club re-signed striker Tosaint Ricketts to a one-year deal with an option for 2023, while Caio Alexandre missed another game with a left foot issue, Erik Godoy sat out because of tightness in his left calf and Jake Nerwinski missed the match after being sent off against the Crew.

There were plenty of questions surrounding the Whitecaps in goal heading into this campaign after trading Maxime Crepeau to Los Angeles FC, but Thomas Hasal answered a lot of those questions on Saturday as he was brilliant, stopping all four shots that he faced, including a big one in the 89th minute off a nice redirection from Thiago Andrade.

Houston Dynamo possible starting lineup:
Clark; Lundqvist, Steres, Parker, Zeca; Carrasquilla, Vera, Ceren, Pasher; Ferreira, Baird

Vancouver Whitecaps possible starting lineup:
Hasal; Blackmon, Vesselinovic, Nerwinski; Brown, Teibert, Owusu, Dajome; Gauld; Cavallini, White


SM words green background

We say: Houston Dynamo 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

This contest will feature two of seven MLS sides who have yet to find the back of the net in 2022, and it could be another conservative match with both squads looking tentative in the early stages of this campaign.

For Houston, the arrival of Herrera cannot come soon enough, and while the Caps have not beaten the Dynamo on the road since 2018, they have shown more attacking intent and more chemistry than Orange Crush, so we expect that will be enough to earn them three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



ID:480283:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect12196:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!



Game History

How you voted: Houston vs Vancouver

Houston Dynamo
45.5%
Draw
27.3%
Vancouver Whitecaps
27.3%
11
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
New York City forward Talles Magno (43), center, is congratulated after scoring his second goal of the game in the second half against Santos de Guapiles at Banc of California Stadium on February 24, 2022
Read Next:
Saturday's Major League Soccer predictions including Vancouver vs. New York City
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!