Major League Soccer

Mar 12, 2022 at 11.30pm UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
2 - 1
Vancouver

Quintero (33', 50')
Ulfarsson (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cavallini (14')
Brown (28'), Veselinovic (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Houston Dynamo 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

This contest will feature two of seven MLS sides who have yet to find the back of the net in 2022, and it could be another conservative match with both squads looking tentative in the early stages of this campaign. For Houston, the arrival of Herrera cannot come soon enough, and while the Caps have not beaten the Dynamo on the road since 2018, they have shown more attacking intent and more chemistry than Orange Crush, so we expect that will be enough to earn them three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
53.07%	24.7%	22.22%

Both teams to score 49.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.94%

52.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.21%

73.78%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.42%

19.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.5%

51.5%

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.73%

38.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.97%

75.02%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 53.07%

Vancouver Whitecaps 22.22%

Draw 24.7%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 12.21% 2-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.07%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.7%	0-1 @ 7.2% 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.46% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.55% Total : 22.22%