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Inter logo
Serie A | Gameweek 37
Jul 28, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Napoli

D'Ambrosio (11'), Martinez (74')
Sanchez (22'), Brozovic (45+4'), Barella (55'), Biraghi (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lozano (80')

Preview: Inter Milan vs. Napoli - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Napoli, including team news and predicted lineups.

Inter Milan will still hope to be in with a chance of winning Serie A when they take on Napoli in the penultimate match of their 2019-20 domestic campaign on Tuesday night.

Antonio Conte's side moved into second spot in the table with a three-goal success at Genoa on Saturday, while Napoli beat Sassuolo on the same night to keep their top-five hopes alive.


Match preview

Alexis Sanchez in action for Inter Milan on July 19, 2020© Reuters

Romelu Lukaku hit a brace and Alexis Sanchez continued his impressive form as Inter beat Genoa by three clear goals on Saturday night to rise above Atalanta BC into second spot in the table.

The gap from second-placed Inter to leaders Juventus is four points, and the Old Lady will have the chance to secure the title when they host Sampdoria on Sunday night.

As a result, Conte's side could fall just short in terms of the championship, but they will be desperate to finish above Atalanta and Lazio if they are unable to wrestle the title away from Juve.

The Milan giants have only lost four of their 36 league matches this term, but they only won two of their six games between July 5 and July 22 as they failed to get closer to the leaders.

Conte appears to be taking the team in the right direction, though, and they have two huge games against Napoli and Atalanta in the league before resuming their Europa League challenge on August 5.

Napoli defender Kalidou Koulibaly pictured in October 2019© Reuters

Napoli, meanwhile, will not be present in next season's Champions League, at least not via Serie A, and are instead locked in a battle with AC Milan and Roma for the spot immediately outside the top four.

There is no getting away from the fact that it has been a disappointing season for the club but claiming fifth would not be the end of the world considering the issues that the club have faced.

As it stands, Gennaro Gattuso's side are seventh in the table, a point behind sixth-placed Milan and two points behind fifth-placed Roma, who host Fiorentina on Sunday night.

Napoli suffered a 2-1 defeat at Parma in their last away match on July 22 but bounced back by beating Sassuolo on Saturday night, with Elseid Hysaj and Allan on the scoresheet.

Gli Azzurri will be determined to finish their league season on a positive note against Inter and Lazio before facing Barcelona in the second leg of their last-16 Champions League clash on August 8.

Inter Milan Serie A form: DWWDDW

Napoli Serie A form: WDDWLW


Team News

Lautaro Martinez in action for Inter Milan on July 25, 2020© Reuters

Inter are again expected to be without the services of Matias Vecino and Stefano Sensi through injury, but fellow midfielder Nicolo Barella has served a one-game ban and is now available to return.

Conte is expected to shuffle his pack from the side that started on Saturday, with Antonio Candreva, Ashley Young and Stefan de Vrij all likely to return to the starting XI.

Sanchez could again be named on the bench despite his impressive form, though, with Lautaro Martinez and Lukaku set to continue as the front two with support from Christian Eriksen.

As for Napoli, Gattuso has no fresh injury concerns ahead of the contest, and it would not be a surprise to see the same XI sent onto the field following the win over Sassuolo.

Dries Mertens and Allan are perhaps the two players pushing strongest for a position in the starting side, but Arkadiusz Milik could keep his spot alongside Jose Callejon and Lorenzo Insigne in attack.

The speculation surrounding the future of central defender Kalidou Kouilbaly continues to gather pace, but the Senegal international will again line up for the visitors.

Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Handanovic; Godin, De Vrij, Skriniar; Young, Brozovic, Barella, Candreva; Eriksen; Lukaku, Martinez

Napoli possible starting lineup:
Ospina; Hysaj, Koulibaly, Manolas, Di Lorenzo; Zielinski, Lobotka, Ruiz; Insigne, Milik, Callejon


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Inter Milan 2-1 Napoli

This has all the makings of a terrific match, with both sides in need of the points. Napoli are certainly capable of picking up a positive result, but we just have a feeling for Inter, who have a number of players in excellent form at the moment.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15CagliariCagliari132561424-1011
16Genoa132561124-1311
17Como122461323-1010
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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