MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 06:08:39| >> :120:8420:8420:
Albania national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Air Albania Stadium
Bulgaria national football team

Albania
2 - 0
Bulgaria

Laci (41'), Muci (81')
Asani (51'), Mitaj (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Antov (44'), Petkov (51'), Gruev (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Albania and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions
Last Game: Albania 3-0 Czech Republic
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Bulgaria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Bulgaria 0-2 Lithuania
Saturday, October 14 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Albania 2-1 Bulgaria

 The home side are likely to make some changes for this contest in a bid to strengthen their depth and experience. Nevertheless, given the trajectories of the two nations, we still believe that Albania will come through with a hard-fought win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.

Result
AlbaniaDrawBulgaria
49.09% (-0.25599999999999 -0.26) 27.36% (-0.09 -0.09) 23.55% (0.347 0.35)
Both teams to score 43.83% (0.566 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.57% (0.55 0.55)60.43% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.44% (0.413 0.41)80.56% (-0.41199999999999 -0.41)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (0.12599999999999 0.13)24.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (0.17299999999999 0.17)59.36% (-0.173 -0.17)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.28% (0.657 0.66)41.72% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.81% (0.571 0.57)78.19% (-0.569 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Albania 49.08%
    Bulgaria 23.55%
    Draw 27.36%
AlbaniaDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 14.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 49.08%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.34% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 23.55%

How you voted: Albania vs Bulgaria

Albania
84.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bulgaria
0.0%
25
rhs 2.0
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