Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Lithuania1 - 1Bulgaria
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Lithuania 1-1 Bulgaria
It is hard separating both nations, whose inability to score consistently enough means they may play out a low-scoring encounter in Kaunas. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lithuania | Draw | Bulgaria |
18.78% ( -0.58) | 24.19% ( -0.57) | 57.03% ( 1.14) |
Both teams to score 46.25% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.99% ( 1.36) | 54% ( -1.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.55% ( 1.13) | 75.44% ( -1.13) |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.95% ( 0.13) | 43.04% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.67% ( 0.11) | 79.33% ( -0.12) |
Bulgaria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.2% ( 0.96) | 18.79% ( -0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.79% ( 1.58) | 50.21% ( -1.59) |
Score Analysis |
Lithuania 18.78%
Bulgaria 57.02%
Draw 24.18%
Lithuania | Draw | Bulgaria |
1-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.78% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 13.52% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 11.3% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 6.3% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.22) 0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.04% Total : 57.02% |
How you voted: Lithuania vs Bulgaria
Lithuania
21.2%Draw
34.8%Bulgaria
43.9%66
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-01 02:19:45
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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