Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Lithuania1 - 1Bulgaria
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Lithuania 1-1 Bulgaria
It is hard separating both nations, whose inability to score consistently enough means they may play out a low-scoring encounter in Kaunas. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Bulgaria |
18.78% ( -0.58) | 24.19% ( -0.57) | 57.03% ( 1.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.25% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
