We said: Bulgaria 0-2 Iran
Bulgaria might have the home advantage heading into this match, but Iran bring a stronger squad and the confidence behind their recent results should help them.
The Persian Stars have impressed with recent performances, and that is something that should lead to them taking a comfortable victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.
-2.07) 
2.38) 
