We said: Andorra 0-0 San Marino
With both likely to sense the opportunity for a rare win, we are expecting a cautious approach from Andorra and San Marino on Sunday evening.
The Tricolours certainly have the advantage with their home support behind them, although we believe that La Serenissima will force a share of the friendly spoils in Andorra la Vella.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Andorra would win this match.