MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 22:16:23| >> :60:12:12:
Moldova national football team
Friendlies 2
Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadionul Zimbru
San Marino national football team

Moldova
1 - 0
San Marino

Rata (10')
Caimacov (90+4'), Baboglo (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pasolini (25'), Mularoni (45+2'), Giocondi (64'), Vitaioli (90+1'), Battistini (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Moldova and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Malta
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League

San Marino

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: San Marino 1-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Moldova 2-0 San Marino

 After the high of a first three-point haul, San Marino are set for the more familiar taste of defeat at Stadionul Zimbru. Moldova have been gradually improving for some time now, and they are deservedly favourites to earn promotion from League D. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 85.11%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.87%) and 1-0 (12.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.97%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moldova would win this match.

Result
MoldovaDrawSan Marino
85.11% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 11.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0) 3.59% (0.0059 0.01)
Both teams to score 29.61% (0.023 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (0.018999999999998 0.02)42.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54% (0.020000000000003 0.02)64.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)7.23% (-0.0021000000000004 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)26.21% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.92% (0.025000000000002 0.03)68.08% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.74% (0.010999999999999 0.01)94.25% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 85.1%
    San Marino 3.59%
    Draw 11.3%
MoldovaDrawSan Marino
2-0 @ 16.98%
3-0 @ 14.87%
1-0 @ 12.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 9.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 5.13%
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.0029999999999997 0)
6-0 @ 2.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 85.1%
1-1 @ 4.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 11.3%
0-1 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 3.59%

How you voted: Moldova vs San Marino

Moldova
73.8%
Draw
7.1%
San Marino
19.0%
42
Head to Head
Nov 15, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
San Marino
0-1
Moldova

Vitaioli (37'), Nanni (64')
Damascan (78')
Gatcan (90')
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Moldova
2-0
San Marino
Ginsari (31', 67')

Gasperoni (38'), Tomassini (80'), Battistini (86')
Oct 11, 2013 5pm
Qualifiers
Moldova
3-0
San Marino
Frunza (55'), Sidorenco (59', 89')
Ionita (86')

Palazzi (30'), Cervellini (45'), Gasperoni (86')
> Match Report
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