Friendlies 2

Mar 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini

San Marino
1 - 3
Saint Kitts

Berardi (21' pen.)
Golinucci (23')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Tyrell (31'), Burley (45'), Panayiotou (49')
Tyrell (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between San Marino and Saint Kitts and Nevis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions

Last Game: San Marino 1-2 Finland
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions

Last Game: Guadeloupe 5-0 Saint Kitts
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

We said: San Marino 0-2 Saint Kitts and Nevis

San Marino will be desperate to end their 20-year wait for a second win in their history, but they do not have the quality to match Saint Kitts and Nevis, and we can only envisage an away win for the Sugar Boyz on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.

Result
San Marino	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
15.73% ( -0)	20.37% ( 0)	63.9% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.99% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.79% (

-0.01)

43.2% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.4% (

-0.01)

65.6% (

0.01)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.64% (

-0.01)

40.35% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.02% (

-0.01)

76.97% (

0.01)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.16% (

-0)

12.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.82% (

-0)

39.18% (

Score Analysis

San Marino 15.73%

Saint Kitts and Nevis 63.89%

Draw 20.37%

San Marino	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 15.73%	1-1 @ 9.65% 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.37%	0-2 @ 10.91% 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 7.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.78% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.48% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.22% Total : 63.89%