Friendlies 2
Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
San Marino1 - 4Cyprus
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slovakia 4-0 San Marino
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
We said: San Marino 0-2 Cyprus
It would be a shock if Cyprus did not win this match, but they are not in the best of form, and we are therefore finding it difficult to predict a really comfortable success. That said, we are still expecting Ketsbaia's side to have more than enough to put a victory on the board. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cyprus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Cyprus |
32.34% ( 1.21) | 25.89% ( 0.3) | 41.76% ( -1.51) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
