Friendlies 3

Jun 14, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Anjalay Stadium

Djibouti
3 - 1
Mauritius

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Djibouti and Mauritius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Djibouti

Last Game: Niger 7-2 Djibouti
Monday, November 15 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Mauritius

Last Game: Mauritius 3-0 Pakistan
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Djibouti 1-2 Mauritius

There is not much separating the sides heading into Wednesday's affair, but Mauritius' home advantage puts them in a good position to come out on top. While we expect Djibouti to give a good account of themselves, we can see the hosts just about getting the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Djibouti	Draw	Mauritius
30.72% ( 0.66)	24.35% ( 0.07)	44.93% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 58.27% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77%

44.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39% (

-0)

66.61% (

Djibouti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

0.44)

27.31% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.24% (

0.56)

62.76% (

-0.56)

Mauritius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.17% (

-0.31)

19.83% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.08% (

-0.51)

51.91% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Djibouti 30.72%

Mauritius 44.93%

Draw 24.35%

Djibouti	Draw	Mauritius
2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.72%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 44.93%