We said: Djibouti 1-2 Mauritius
There is not much separating the sides heading into Wednesday's affair, but Mauritius' home advantage puts them in a good position to come out on top. While we expect Djibouti to give a good account of themselves, we can see the hosts just about getting the job done in the end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.