Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Benin had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
