MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 08:56:57| >> :120:4933:4933:
Honduras national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 16, 2025 at 7pm UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Guatemala national football team

Honduras
1 - 2
Guatemala

Gabriel Hernandez Padilla (26')
Alvarez (30'), Raul Garcia Gonzales (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ardon (31'), Escobar (85')
Rubin (87')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Honduras and Guatemala.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Honduras
Wednesday, November 20 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-0 Guatemala
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
HondurasDrawGuatemala
58.75% (-0.547 -0.55) 21.82% (0.222 0.22) 19.43% (0.324 0.32)
Both teams to score 54.63% (-0.175 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.61% (-0.508 -0.51)43.39% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21% (-0.503 -0.5)65.79% (0.503 0.5)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.55% (-0.336 -0.34)14.44% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.61% (-0.657 -0.66)42.39% (0.658 0.66)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (0.045999999999999 0.05)36.14% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (0.046000000000003 0.05)72.93% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Honduras 58.75%
    Guatemala 19.43%
    Draw 21.82%
HondurasDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.102 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 58.75%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.82%
0-1 @ 5.31% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 19.43%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 11pm
Friendlies 1
Guatemala
0-0
Honduras
Lom (48'), Morales (90')
Vega (35')
Sep 28, 2022 2am
International Friendly
Honduras
2-1
Guatemala
Samayoa (70' og.), Solani (87')
Lom (32')
Nov 15, 2020 5pm
Friendlies 1
Guatemala
2-1
Honduras
Lom (24', 66' pen.)
Hernandez (17'), Barrientos (29')
Pineda (68' pen.)
Alfredo Lopez (70')
rhs 2.0
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