MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 19:00:28| >> :60:68:68:
Uruguay national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 2, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Guatemala national football team

Uruguay
1 - 1
Guatemala

Pino Garcia (21')
Catarozzi (61'), Cosentino (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Altan (67')
Escobar (54'), Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Uruguay and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 2-2 Uruguay (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 14 at 1am in Copa America

Guatemala

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 El Salvador
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30am in International Friendlies

We said: Uruguay 0-0 Guatemala

 The Guatemalans are traditionally a defensive squad, while little is known about this Uruguay squad, and we expect both sides to play conservatively given their nature and the fact that some big games are upcoming for each nation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
UruguayDrawGuatemala
68.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 18.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 13.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)41.19% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)63.59% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.89% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)11.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.49% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)35.51% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.61% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.04% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)78.96% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 68.02%
    Guatemala 13.24%
    Draw 18.74%
UruguayDrawGuatemala
2-0 @ 11.42%
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 8.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 68.02%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 18.74%
0-1 @ 4.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.18%
1-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 13.24%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Guatemala

Uruguay
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Guatemala
7.7%
26
rhs 2.0
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