Honduras

4 - 0

Trin. & Tob.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 77.33%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 1-2 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.