MX23RW : Thursday, January 2 16:11:55| >> :60:445:445:
Guatemala national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Sep 6, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores

Guatemala
3 - 1
Martinique

Rubin (3'), Carlos Pinto (61' pen.), Carlos Martinez (90+4')
Herrera (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Appin (50')
Moutachy (60'), Varane (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Guatemala and Martinique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Uruguay 1-1 Guatemala
Monday, September 2 at 12am in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Martinique
Sunday, March 24 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Guatemala 1-0 Martinique

These two sides are well-organised on the back end, but we believe the Guatemalan's overall depth is greater than Martinique's, which should propel the home side to a narrow triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
GuatemalaDrawMartinique
59.09% (-0.464 -0.46) 22.99% (0.16 0.16) 17.92% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 48.23% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (-0.183 -0.18)50.57% (0.187 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51% (-0.16 -0.16)72.49% (0.166 0.17)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.224 -0.22)16.79% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-0.40499999999999 -0.4)46.75% (0.409 0.41)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96% (0.262 0.26)42.04% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53% (0.225 0.22)78.47% (-0.221 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 59.08%
    Martinique 17.92%
    Draw 22.99%
GuatemalaDrawMartinique
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 59.08%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.089 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.73% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 17.92%

How you voted: Guatemala vs Martinique

Guatemala
86.7%
Draw
13.3%
Martinique
0.0%
15
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal19116238172139
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276


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