Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 12.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.53%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Mauritius win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hong Kong in this match.