Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Hong Kong had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Hong Kong win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.