Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 44.64%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hungary in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hungary.
0.01) 
-0.09) 
