MX23RW : Friday, November 22 17:55:00| >> :60:423:423:
Estonia national football team
Baltic Cup | Third Place Final
Nov 19, 2022 at 2pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Lithuania national football team

Estonia
2 - 0
Lithuania

Zenjov (65'), Peetson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zebrauskas (24'), Lasickas (68'), Gineitis (70')
Coverage of the Baltic Cup Third Place Final clash between Estonia and Lithuania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions
Baltic Cup
Last Game: Latvia 1-1 Estonia (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in Baltic Cup

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lithuania 0-0 Iceland (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.

Result
EstoniaDrawLithuania
54.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 22.13% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.7% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.91% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)39.34% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.68% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)14.54% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)42.57% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)29.9% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)65.99% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estonia 54.18%
    Lithuania 23.7%
    Draw 22.13%
EstoniaDrawLithuania
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 54.18%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 23.7%

How you voted: Estonia vs Lithuania

Estonia
64.3%
Draw
28.6%
Lithuania
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2021
5pm
Lithuania  
vs.
E
   Estonia
Oct 7, 2020 5pm
Estonia
1-3
Lithuania
Marin (59')
Anders Lepik (51'), Marin (72')
Novikovas (14', 46'), Sirgedas (32')
Mar 31, 2020 5pm
Estonia
P-P
Lithuania
Sep 5, 2015 5pm
Group E
Estonia
1-0
Lithuania
Vassiljev (71')
Purje (79'), Dmitrijev (87')

Matulevicius (30'), Zaliukas (65'), Cesnauskis (69')
> Match Report
Oct 9, 2014 7.45pm
Group E
Lithuania
1-0
Estonia
Mikoliunas (76')
Andriuskevicius (61'), Vaitkunas (87')

Zenjov (33'), Kallaste (64')
Kallaste (86')
> Match Report
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