![Estonia national football team Estonia national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/estlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Baltic Cup | Third Place Final
Nov 19, 2022 at 2pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
![Lithuania national football team Lithuania national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/litlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Estonia2 - 0Lithuania
Coverage of the Baltic Cup Third Place Final clash between Estonia and Lithuania.
Form, Standings, Stats
Baltic Cup
Last Game: Latvia 1-1 Estonia (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.
Result | ||
Estonia | Draw | Lithuania |
54.18% (![]() | 22.13% (![]() | 23.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.65% (![]() | 39.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.31% (![]() | 61.68% (![]() |
Estonia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.46% (![]() | 14.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.43% (![]() | 42.57% (![]() |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% (![]() | 29.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% (![]() | 65.99% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estonia 54.18%
Lithuania 23.7%
Draw 22.13%
Estonia | Draw | Lithuania |
2-1 @ 9.76% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.38% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.18% | 1-1 @ 10.12% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 6.11% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.7% |
How you voted: Estonia vs Lithuania
Estonia
64.3%Draw
28.6%Lithuania
7.1%14
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2021
5pm
Oct 7, 2020 5pm
Estonia
1-3
Lithuania
Marin (59')
Anders Lepik (51'), Marin (72')
Anders Lepik (51'), Marin (72')
Mar 31, 2020 5pm
Sep 5, 2015 5pm
Group E
Estonia
1-0
Lithuania
Oct 9, 2014 7.45pm
Group E
Lithuania
1-0
Estonia
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 05:28:24
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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