International Friendly

Nov 17, 2022 at 2pm UK

Basra Sport City Stadium

Iraq
C-C
Costa Rica

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Iraq and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Iraq
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Costa Rica

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Costa Rica 2-0 Nigeria
Thursday, November 10 at 2am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Costa Rica	0	0	0
2	Germany	0	0	0
3	Spain	0	0	0
4	Japan	0	0	0

Both sides showed a solid commitment to defending and organisation in their previous encounter, but neither have proven they have the poise and quality in the attack to bury their goalscoring opportunities. The Costa Ricans are not as dynamic as they were at the 2014 World Cup, but their experienced leaders have stepped up countless times to propel them to victory this year, and we anticipate those individuals will do that in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 0-1 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%).

Result
Iraq	Draw	Costa Rica
35.96% ( 1.35)	29.15% ( -1.37)	34.89% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 44.44% (

3.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.66% (

4.36)

62.34% (

-4.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.01% (

3.08)

81.99% (

-3.08)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

3.25)

32.98% (

-3.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.43% (

3.45)

69.57% (

-3.45)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.31% (

2.36)

33.69% (

-2.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66% (

2.49)

70.34% (

-2.48)

Score Analysis

Iraq 35.95%

Costa Rica 34.88%

Draw 29.14%

Iraq	Draw	Costa Rica
1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.93) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.31) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.95%	1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( -1.94) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.54) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.14%	0-1 @ 12.08% ( -1.24) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.88%