MX23RW : Monday, December 23 02:06:49| >> :120:6371:6371:
Mexico national football team
International Friendly
Nov 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Soldier Field
Iraq national football team

Mexico
4 - 0
Iraq

Vega (4'), Funes Mori (48'), Gallardo (67'), Uriel (90+2' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Mexico and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Sweden
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Syria 0-1 Iraq
Monday, September 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Iraq vs. Ecuador
Saturday, November 12 at 12am in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 1-0 Iraq

Neither team have been convincing since the end of qualifying, but El Tri have faced much more formidable opponents, while Iraq are in a transitional phase looking to develop its next generation, so we will give the experienced Mexicans the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.21%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawIraq
57.53% (0.071000000000005 0.07) 26.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 15.97% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 36.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.09% (0.012 0.01)64.9% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.18% (0.010999999999999 0.01)83.82% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (0.036000000000001 0.04)22.99% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (0.052 0.05)56.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.86% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)53.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.26% (-0.035 -0.04)86.73% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 57.52%
    Iraq 15.97%
    Draw 26.49%
MexicoDrawIraq
1-0 @ 17.96% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 13.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 57.52%
0-0 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 15.97%

How you voted: Mexico vs Iraq

Mexico
81.9%
Draw
8.5%
Iraq
9.6%
94
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!