World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
Iraq1 - 0UAE
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Syria 1-1 Iraq
Tuesday, March 29 at 2.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, March 29 at 2.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
We said: Iraq 1-1 United Arab Emirates
This is a really intriguing clash as both countries have new managers and both can still finish in Group A's playoff spot. We think it will end all square, which would end Iraq's hopes and leave UAE going into their final game against South Korea with all to play for. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Iraq win it was 1-0 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Iraq | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
25.2% | 26.08% | 48.72% |
Both teams to score 48.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.26% | 54.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.94% | 76.05% |
Iraq Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63% | 37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.21% | 73.79% |
United Arab Emirates Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.5% | 22.49% |