Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kuwait win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kuwait win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.