Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Laos had a probability of 10.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.01%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Laos win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nepal would win this match.