MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 12:28:42| >> :60:33:33:
Nepal national football team
International Friendly
Sep 27, 2022 at 12.45pm UK
Dashrath Rangasala
Bangladesh national football team

Nepal
3 - 1
Bangladesh

FT
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Nepal and Bangladesh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nepal 0-2 Oman
Friday, June 3 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cambodia 0-1 Bangladesh
Thursday, September 22 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Bangladesh had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Bangladesh win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nepal would win this match.

Result
NepalDrawBangladesh
41.72% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 23.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 64.41% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.09% (0.027000000000001 0.03)36.91% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.91% (0.029000000000003 0.03)59.09% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (0.019000000000005 0.02)18.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.032000000000004 0.03)49.2% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Bangladesh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.26% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)54.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nepal 41.72%
    Bangladesh 35.14%
    Draw 23.14%
NepalDrawBangladesh
2-1 @ 8.7%
1-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.14%

How you voted: Nepal vs Bangladesh

Nepal
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bangladesh
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2020 11am
Nov 13, 2020 11am
Bangladesh
2-0
Nepal
Newaj Jibon (11'), Rahman (79')
(55'), (81')

(75')
rhs 2.0
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