Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Malaysia had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Malaysia win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.