International Friendly

Jun 5, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Peru
1 - 0
New Zealand

Lapadula (69')
Yotun (55'), Zambrano (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tuiloma (14'), Lewis (56'), Reid (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Peru and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

Last Six:

Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

New Zealand

Last Six:

Last Game: Oman 0-0 New Zealand
Thursday, June 9 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Australia vs. New Zealand
Sunday, September 25 at 4am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

The outcome of this game could depend heavily on the lineups of both teams, as well as their character and desire in pushing for a win that would mean very little. However, despite this, Peru certainly possess the greater quality and find themselves on a strong run of form, achieved against much stronger opponents than New Zealand have in their success of late, so it should be a fairly routine victory for the South Americans in Barcelona. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peru in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peru.

Result
Peru	Draw	New Zealand
50.47% ( 0.07)	27.73% ( 0.01)	21.8% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 41.16% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.09% (

-0.07)

62.91% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.6% (

-0.05)

82.4% (

0.06)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

-0)

25.26% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.98% (

-0.01)

60.02% (

0.01)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.08% (

-0.12)

44.92% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.13% (

-0.09)

80.87% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Peru 50.46%

New Zealand 21.8%

Draw 27.72%

Peru	Draw	New Zealand
1-0 @ 15.61% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 50.46%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.72%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.8%