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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Peru national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK
 
Paraguay national football team

Peru
2 - 0
Paraguay

Lapadula (5'), Yotun (42')
Lapadula (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rojas (45'), Ortiz (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

Last Six:
Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

Paraguay

Last Six:
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Paraguay
Thursday, June 2 at 11am in International Friendlies
Next Game: South Korea vs. Paraguay
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: Peru 2-0 Paraguay

 Just one point above sixth-place Columbia, Peru need maximum points to keep their World Cup qualification dreams alive. Next up is a floundering opposing side who have managed just one win in their last eight games. We predict Peru will take full advantage of their home crowd support and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 35%. A win for Peru had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (13.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Peru in this match.

Result
PeruDrawParaguay
34.24%30.77%35%
Both teams to score 40.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.57%67.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.45%85.55%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11%36.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.32%73.68%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64%36.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.85%73.15%
Score Analysis
    Peru 34.23%
    Paraguay 35%
    Draw 30.76%
PeruDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-1 @ 6.75%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 34.23%
1-1 @ 13.53%
0-0 @ 13.41%
2-2 @ 3.41%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.76%
0-1 @ 13.57%
0-2 @ 6.87%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-3 @ 2.32%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 35%

How you voted: Peru vs Paraguay

Peru
75.9%
Draw
9.5%
Paraguay
14.6%
137
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2021 10pm
Peru
3-3
Paraguay
 Peru win 4-3 on penalties
Lapadula (21', 40'), Yotun (80')
Santamaria (15'), Cueva (60'), Carrillo (75')
Carrillo (85')
Gomez (11'), Alonso (54'), Avalos (90')
Gomez (42'), Villasanti (49'), Espinola (87')
Gomez (45+3')
Oct 8, 2020 11.30pm
CONMEBOL Standings
Paraguay
2-2
Peru
Romero (66', 81')
Cubas (35'), Espinola Gimenez (43'), Villasanti (84')
Carrillo (52', 85')
Zambrano (18')
Mar 23, 2019 12am
Peru
1-0
Paraguay
Cueva (4')
Tapia (51'), Advincula (64')
Jul 4, 2015 12.30am
Peru
2-0
Paraguay
> Match Report
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