World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Semi-finals
Mar 27, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
New Zealand1 - 0Tahiti
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Oman vs. New Zealand
Thursday, June 9 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, June 9 at 7pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: New Zealand 1-0 Tahiti
Sunday, March 27 at 6.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Sunday, March 27 at 6.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
We said: New Zealand 4-0 Tahiti
New Zealand have so far demonstrated that they are a level above the rest of their competitors in Oceania qualifying, and we think that they will continue to dominate on Sunday when they come up against a Tahiti side who will feel under-prepared following a chaotic group stage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Tahiti had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Tahiti win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New Zealand | Draw | Tahiti |
| 52.7% | 22.37% | 24.93% |
| Both teams to score 60.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
