Uruguay1 - 0Peru
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, June 11 at 9pm in International Friendlies
We said: Uruguay 2-1 Peru
A closely-fought contest is set to take place in Montevideo, though Uruguay will head into this fixture as favourites given their star names such as Suarez and Cavani can be called upon. Peru will likely cause problems in the final third, but we believe the hosts possess greater firepower in attack which should see them outscore their opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uruguay.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Peru |
| 55.5% | 25.21% | 19.29% |
| Both teams to score 44.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% | 57.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% | 77.94% |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% | 20.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.9% | 53.1% |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.75% | 44.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.68% | 80.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Uruguay | Draw | Peru |
| 1-0 @ 14.39% 2-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 4.89% 4-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.27% Total : 55.5% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.29% |
