We said: Thailand 1-1 Bahrain
With both nations in good form, this has the potential to be an entertaining contest. However, the two teams will also want to avoid defeat before some important fixtures, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thailand win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thailand win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.