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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jul 1, 2023 at 10am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 0
Hiroshima

Mito (25'), Araki (28' og.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kawamura (23'), Araki (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-1 Yokohama
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Alibrex Niigata might be the underdogs heading into this match, but now could be the perfect time to face their opponents considering their recent struggles which is why a draw might be the outcome this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
31.93% (0.246 0.25) 26.28% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 41.79% (-0.239 -0.24)
Both teams to score 52.4% (0.11600000000001 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.88% (0.105 0.1)52.12% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (0.094000000000001 0.09)73.84% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.22200000000001 0.22)30.44% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (0.264 0.26)66.65% (-0.265 -0.27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)24.67% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.106 -0.11)59.19% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 31.93%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 41.79%
    Draw 26.28%
Albirex NiigataDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 41.79%

How you voted: Albirex Niigata vs Hiroshima

Albirex Niigata
Draw
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Albirex Niigata
14.3%
Draw
71.4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 5am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Avispa Fukuoka10613118319
2Kyoto Sanga105321310318
3Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki10451189917
4Fagiano OkayamaOkayama1052395417
5Kashiwa ReysolReysol10451118317
6Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima952296317
7Machida Zelvia105231210217
8Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers105141610616
9Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare10424913-414
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa1034399013
11Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka104151115-413
12Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse103341110112
13Cerezo OsakaCerezo103341515012
14Vissel KobeVissel Kobe933377012
15Yokohama FCYokohama FC1032567-111
16Tokyo Verdy10244712-510
17FC Tokyo10235712-59
18Yokohama F MarinosYokohama10154811-38
19Albirex Niigata101541014-48
20Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus102261119-88


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