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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 11am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
0 - 0
Albirex Niigata


Toshima (24'), Mitsumaru (51')
FT

Watanabe (30'), Fujiwara (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Albirex Niigata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 4-3 Reysol
Saturday, June 10 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, June 11 at 6am in J1 League

We said: Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Albirex Niigata

Kashiwa Reysol may be languishing at the foot of the table, but they have avoided defeat in their last four home games against Albirex Niigata, and we think that they will continue that impressive run by claiming a narrow win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawAlbirex Niigata
35.49% (-0.905 -0.91) 26.57% (0.488 0.49) 37.93% (0.421 0.42)
Both teams to score 52.25% (-1.688 -1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.34% (-2.118 -2.12)52.66% (2.121 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (-1.843 -1.84)74.3% (1.846 1.85)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57% (-1.552 -1.55)28.43% (1.557 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82% (-1.997 -2)64.18% (2.001 2)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.754 -0.75)26.99% (0.758 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-1 -1)62.34% (1.002 1)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 35.49%
    Albirex Niigata 37.93%
    Draw 26.57%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.388 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.49%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.623 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.608 0.61)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.269 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 37.93%

How you voted: Reysol vs Albirex Niigata

Kashiwa Reysol
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Albirex Niigata
16.7%
6
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 6am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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