Cerezo

2 - 1

Jubilo Iwata

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.