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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 18, 2022 at 10am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
3 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Gonzalez (8', 13'), Kanuma (27')
Gonzalez (47')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Miyashiro (53')
Tashiro (69')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jubilo Iwata

Last Six:
    Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-2 Yokohama
    Sunday, May 29 at 8am in J1 League

    Sagan Tosu

    Last Six:
    Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
    Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

    Result
    Jubilo IwataDrawSagan Tosu
    35.97% (0.101 0.1) 27.68% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 36.35% (-0.108 -0.11)
    Both teams to score 48.78% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    42.96% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)57.04% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    22.07% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)77.93% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
    Jubilo Iwata Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    69.72% (0.049999999999997 0.05)30.28% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    33.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06)66.45% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
    Sagan Tosu Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    69.96% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)30.04% (0.081 0.08)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    33.83% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)66.17% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
    Score Analysis
        Jubilo Iwata 35.96%
        Sagan Tosu 36.34%
        Draw 27.67%
    Jubilo IwataDrawSagan Tosu
    1-0 @ 10.86% (0.02 0.02)
    2-1 @ 7.81% (0.012 0.01)
    2-0 @ 6.49% (0.024 0.02)
    3-1 @ 3.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
    3-0 @ 2.59% (0.013 0.01)
    3-2 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-1 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
    Other @ 2.31%
    Total : 35.96%
    		1-1 @ 13.06%
    0-0 @ 9.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    Other @ 0.82%
    Total : 27.67%
    		0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
    1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
    0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
    1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
    0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.015 -0.01)
    2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
    1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
    Other @ 2.36%
    Total : 36.34%

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