MX23RW : Monday, March 10 16:35:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 at 7am UK
KINCHO Stadium

Cerezo
1 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Kitano (45+4')
Takahashi Cendagorta (77'), Noborizato (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mateus (85')
Izumi (33'), Mateus (37')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Cerezo
Sunday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
40.71% (-0.973 -0.97) 26.2% (0.626 0.63) 33.08% (0.344 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.02% (-1.946 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.51% (-2.56 -2.56)51.48% (2.558 2.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (-2.272 -2.27)73.29% (2.271 2.27)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (-1.63 -1.63)24.94% (1.628 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (-2.318 -2.32)59.57% (2.315 2.32)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (-1.038 -1.04)29.36% (1.035 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (-1.289 -1.29)65.34% (1.288 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 40.7%
    Nagoya Grampus 33.09%
    Draw 26.2%
Cerezo OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.546 0.55)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.249 -0.25)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.72 0.72)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.268 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.645 0.65)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.246 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.09%

Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 10am
Gameweek 21
Cerezo
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Ceara (26'), Fernandes (65')
Watanabe (90+4')
Kubo (76')
Mikuni (30'), Shiihashi (86')
Apr 21, 2024 7am
Gameweek 9
Nagoya Grampus
2-1
Cerezo
Mikuni (65'), Nagai (82')
Yoshida (23'), Mikuni (62'), Chang-Rae (87'), Ha (87'), Morishima (90+3')
Mikuni (67')
Capixaba (78')
Aug 26, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 25
Cerezo
3-1
Nagoya Grampus
Uejo (9', 71'), Kitano (88')
Morishita (12')
Jun 3, 2023 8am
Gameweek 16
Nagoya Grampus
3-1
Cerezo
Izumi (21'), Maruyama (31'), Mateus (43')
Nov 5, 2022 5am
rhs 2.0
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