Kashima Antlers3 - 0Sagan Tosu
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, July 24 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
for
Sunday, July 21 at 11am in J1 League
for
We said: Kashima Antlers 3-1 Sagan Tosu
While Sagan Tosu have experienced a slight upturn in their away record recently, it is difficult to back against the hosts, who have the best home record in the division this season and have not lost at this venue in almost a year. We feel this should be a fairly straightforward three points for the Antlers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
Result | ||
Kashima Antlers | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
49.47% ( -0.01) | 24.67% ( 0) | 25.86% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.7% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.36% ( 0.01) | 48.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.24% ( 0.01) | 70.76% ( -0) |
Kashima Antlers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.31% | 19.69% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.31% | 51.68% |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% ( 0.01) | 33.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% ( 0.01) | 69.74% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Kashima Antlers | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.47% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 25.86% |
How you voted: Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu
Yamazaki (23'), Iwasaki (31'), Togashi (72'), Seok-Ho (78'), Narahara (82')
Yamazaki (23'), Iwasaki (31'), Togashi (72'), Seok-Ho (78'), Narahara (82')
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 68 |
2 | Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 65 |
3 | Machida Zelvia | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 60 |
5 | Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 59 |
6 | Tokyo Verdy | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 55 |
7 | Cerezo OsakaCerezo | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 52 |
8 | FC Tokyo | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Yokohama F MarinosYokohama | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 58 | 0 | 49 |
10 | Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 47 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 46 |
13 | Kyoto Sanga | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 46 |
14 | Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 45 |
15 | Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 45 |
16 | Albirex Niigata | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 41 |
17 | Kashiwa ReysolReysol | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Jubilo Iwata | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 64 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Consadole SapporoConsadole | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
20 | Sagan Tosu | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 29 |
> J1 League Full Table |