Sagan Tosu1 - 4Hiroshima
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
for
Sunday, July 14 at 10.30am in J1 League
for
We said: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Before the previous matchday, Sagan appeared to be the team with some good momentum, while Sanfrecce were struggling - however, the tables have turned, and both history and momentum now favour the away side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
18.05% (![]() | 22.29% (![]() | 59.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.47% (![]() | 47.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.26% (![]() | 69.74% (![]() |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.9% (![]() | 40.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.26% (![]() | 76.74% (![]() |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% (![]() | 15.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.52% (![]() | 44.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
1-0 @ 5.7% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.05% | 1-1 @ 10.6% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 11.6% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.79% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.27% Total : 59.64% |
How you voted: Sagan Tosu vs Hiroshima
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 55 |
2 | Machida Zelvia | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 52 |
4 | Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 48 |
5 | Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Yokohama F MarinosYokohama | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Tokyo Verdy | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 41 |
8 | Cerezo OsakaCerezo | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 38 |
9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 38 |
10 | FC Tokyo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
11 | Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
12 | Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 36 |
13 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 36 |
14 | Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 34 |
15 | Kyoto Sanga | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Kashiwa ReysolReysol | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 33 |
17 | Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 32 |
18 | Jubilo Iwata | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 28 |
19 | Consadole SapporoConsadole | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 25 |
20 | Sagan Tosu | 29 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 24 |
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