MX23RW : Friday, September 6 05:43:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 24
Jul 21, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
1 - 4
Hiroshima

Ryan (46')
Yamazaki (6'), Fukuta (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Junior (21'), Matsumoto (71'), Ohashi (87'), Mitsuta (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, July 14 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Before the previous matchday, Sagan appeared to be the team with some good momentum, while Sanfrecce were struggling - however, the tables have turned, and both history and momentum now favour the away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
18.05% (-1.25 -1.25) 22.29% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 59.66% (1.268 1.27)
Both teams to score 50.59% (-2.197 -2.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47% (-1.805 -1.81)47.53% (1.81 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (-1.692 -1.69)69.74% (1.699 1.7)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9% (-2.455 -2.46)40.1% (2.462 2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (-2.321 -2.32)76.74% (2.327 2.33)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46% (-0.193 -0.19)15.54% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.367 -0.37)44.48% (0.373 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 18.05%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.64%
    Draw 22.29%
Sagan TosuDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 5.7% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 4.85% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-0 @ 2.6% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.05%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.457 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.335 -0.34)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.78 0.78)
0-2 @ 10.79% (0.65 0.65)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.7% (0.362 0.36)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-4 @ 3.12% (0.148 0.15)
1-4 @ 2.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.047 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 59.64%

How you voted: Sagan Tosu vs Hiroshima

Sagan Tosu
17.6%
Draw
23.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
58.8%
17
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 6am
Gameweek 3
Hiroshima
4-0
Sagan Tosu
Shiotani (18'), Kawamura (31'), Soteriou (51' pen.), Nakano (90+6')

Tezuka (55'), Togashi (69'), Harada (82')
Sep 2, 2023 11am
Gameweek 26
Sagan Tosu
0-2
Hiroshima
Soteriou (3'), Vieira (79')
Junior (45+2'), Kawamura (67')
Apr 9, 2023 6am
Nov 5, 2022 5am
Feb 19, 2022 5am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Ravens
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima291510453282555
2Machida Zelvia29167643222155
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe29157745271852
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers28146844341048
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka28139632221048
6Yokohama F MarinosYokohama28125114842641
7Tokyo Verdy29101183741-441
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo2891183537-238
9Avispa Fukuoka2991192830-238
10FC Tokyo29108113741-438
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus28114133234-237
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa279994237536
13Albirex Niigata2899103739-236
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki28810104240234
15Kyoto Sanga2897123345-1234
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol2889113442-833
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2988133943-432
18Jubilo Iwata2877143449-1528
19Consadole SapporoConsadole2967163455-2125
20Sagan Tosu2973193657-2124


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