MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 09:49:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 24
Jul 21, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
1 - 4
Hiroshima

Ryan (46')
Yamazaki (6'), Fukuta (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Junior (21'), Matsumoto (71'), Ohashi (87'), Mitsuta (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, July 14 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Before the previous matchday, Sagan appeared to be the team with some good momentum, while Sanfrecce were struggling - however, the tables have turned, and both history and momentum now favour the away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
18.05% (-1.25 -1.25) 22.29% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 59.66% (1.268 1.27)
Both teams to score 50.59% (-2.197 -2.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47% (-1.805 -1.81)47.53% (1.81 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (-1.692 -1.69)69.74% (1.699 1.7)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9% (-2.455 -2.46)40.1% (2.462 2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (-2.321 -2.32)76.74% (2.327 2.33)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46% (-0.193 -0.19)15.54% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.367 -0.37)44.48% (0.373 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 18.05%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.64%
    Draw 22.29%
Sagan TosuDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 5.7% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 4.85% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-0 @ 2.6% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.05%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.457 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.335 -0.34)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.78 0.78)
0-2 @ 10.79% (0.65 0.65)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.7% (0.362 0.36)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-4 @ 3.12% (0.148 0.15)
1-4 @ 2.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.047 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 59.64%

How you voted: Sagan Tosu vs Hiroshima

Sagan Tosu
17.6%
Draw
23.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
58.8%
17
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 6am
Gameweek 3
Hiroshima
4-0
Sagan Tosu
Shiotani (18'), Kawamura (31'), Soteriou (51' pen.), Nakano (90+6')

Tezuka (55'), Togashi (69'), Harada (82')
Sep 2, 2023 11am
Gameweek 26
Sagan Tosu
0-2
Hiroshima
Soteriou (3'), Vieira (79')
Junior (45+2'), Kawamura (67')
Apr 9, 2023 6am
Nov 5, 2022 5am
Feb 19, 2022 5am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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