Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cerezo Osaka.