Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kyoto Sanga would win this match.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Gamba Osaka
40.23% ( 0.03)	27.46% ( -0.01)	32.31% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.91% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.37% (

0.01)

56.63% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.4% (

0.01)

77.6% (

-0.01)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

0.02)

27.57% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.91% (

0.03)

63.09% (

-0.03)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.52% (

-0.01)

32.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31% (

-0.02)

69% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 40.23%

Gamba Osaka 32.3%

Draw 27.45%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.23%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.3%