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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Yamasaki (13'), Patric (90+2')
Kaneko (53'), Fukuoka (59'), Ota (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Izumi (62')
Inagaki (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 8 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Kyoto Sanga 0-2 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus should have no trouble breezing past a Kyoto Sanga side who have been very poor for large parts of the season. As such, we expect the visitors to record a 2-0 victory, which will keep them firmly in the hunt for top spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
26.99% (-0.408 -0.41) 28.53% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 44.48% (0.452 0.45)
Both teams to score 43.54% (-0.128 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)62.21% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)81.89% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (-0.367 -0.37)39.59% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.341 -0.34)76.28% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.223 0.22)27.92% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (0.285 0.29)63.53% (-0.287 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 26.99%
    Nagoya Grampus 44.48%
    Draw 28.52%
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.05% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 26.99%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 14.1% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 9% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.83% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 44.48%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 7am
Oct 8, 2022 6am
May 3, 2022 6am
Gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Sakai (60')
Mendes (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kyoto Sanga137331814424
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers127141911822
3Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136431511422
4Kashiwa ReysolReysol11551128420
5Avispa Fukuoka126241312120
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki124621911818
7Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse125341713418
8Fagiano OkayamaOkayama12534118318
9Vissel KobeVissel Kobe11533108218
10Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima11524109117
11Machida Zelvia125251212017
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare125251014-417
13Tokyo Verdy12354812-414
14Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka124261219-714
15Cerezo OsakaCerezo123451617-113
16FC Tokyo123451113-213
17Yokohama FCYokohama FC12336810-212
18Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus123271321-811
19Albirex Niigata111551116-58
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama121561117-68


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