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J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2022 at 6am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 1
Kyoto Sanga

Mateus (35')
Sakai (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Utaka (40')
Mendes (42')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Urawa vs. Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, May 29 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Kashima Antlers vs. Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 26.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawKyoto Sanga
45.99%27.33%26.68%
Both teams to score 46.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65%58.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04%78.96%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65%25.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85%60.14%
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.29%37.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.51%74.48%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 45.98%
    Kyoto Sanga 26.68%
    Draw 27.32%
Nagoya GrampusDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 8.78%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-1 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 26.68%

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