J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 at 11am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
Nagoya Grampus3 - 1FC Tokyo
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and FC Tokyo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-3 Reysol
Saturday, May 11 at 9am in J1 League
Saturday, May 11 at 9am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nagoya Grampus | Draw | FC Tokyo |
28.98% ( 0.04) | 27.69% ( 0.01) | 43.32% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.9% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.47% ( 0.01) | 58.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.89% ( 0) | 79.1% ( -0) |
Nagoya Grampus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% ( 0.04) | 35.93% ( -0.04) |