J1 League | Gameweek 29
Sep 30, 2023 at 11am UK
EDION Stadium
Hiroshima3 - 1Nagoya Grampus
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, September 23 at 8am in J1 League
Saturday, September 23 at 8am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
35
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
47.98% ( 0.08) | 26.36% ( -0.01) | 25.65% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
