Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
43.05% ( -0.06)	25.31% ( 0.02)	31.63% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.43% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.86% (

-0.07)

48.14% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.7% (

-0.07)

70.3% (

0.07)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

-0.06)

22.31% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.22% (

-0.09)

55.77% (

0.09)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.35% (

-0)

28.65% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.53% (

-0)

64.47% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.05%

Kawasaki Frontale 31.63%

Draw 25.31%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.05%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.63%