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J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
Gamba Osaka

Tokyo Verdy
0 - 0
Gamba Osaka

FT

Lavi (61')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-3 Tokyo Verdy
Sunday, May 12 at 5.05am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawGamba Osaka
41.89% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 28.08% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.03% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.3% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.53% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.12% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)79.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)28.03% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)63.68% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34% (0.051999999999992 0.05)35.66% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57% (0.054000000000002 0.05)72.43% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 41.88%
    Gamba Osaka 30.02%
    Draw 28.08%
Tokyo VerdyDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 12.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 10% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 10.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 30.02%

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